METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
22%
Stewart
78%
Shahbazyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Edmen ShahbazyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Darren Stewart · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Shahbazyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Stewart's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shahbazyan has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StewartShahbazyan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
62.0
42.3
Performance Avg
54.6
43
Quality of Victory
51
68
Momentum Score
100
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
7.2
4.0
Style: Volume
3.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
4Clinch0
11Ground0
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
StewartShahbazyan
Strike Zones
Stewart
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedShahbazyan
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stewart targets the head (95% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stewart
RND
Shahbazyan
0/0R00/0
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brunno FerreiraUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02