The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
30%
Stewart
70%
Shahbazyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stewart's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shahbazyan has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.9
63.1
42.3
Performance Avg
56.3
43
Quality of Victory
51
68
Momentum Score
100
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
4Clinch0
11Ground0
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stewart
Shahbazyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
StewartShahbazyan
Strike Zones
Stewart
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedShahbazyan
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stewart targets the head (95% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stewart
RND
Shahbazyan
0/0R00/0
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
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Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
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W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
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