UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Lightweight
VS
92%
Prazeres
8%
Ronson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Prazeres
Prazeres is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prazeres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Ronson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ronson has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Prazeres
Ronson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+70"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Prazeres
Ronson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
2.6
48.3
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Prazeres
Ronson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
0
Body
5
1
Leg
9
RangeRange
11Distance16
1Clinch0
1Ground8
Prazeres
Ronson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prazeres
Ronson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Prazeres
Ronson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Prazeres
Ronson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prazeres
Ronson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PrazeresRonson
Strike Zones
Prazeres
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRonson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (92% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Ronson targets the head (42% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prazeres
RND
Ronson
0/0R00/0
Prazeres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ronson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Prazeres · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Ronson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joaquim SilvaRating 3.4KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Upcoming
Nicolas DalbyUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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