UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Welterweight
VS
55%
Radtke
45%
Prado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Radtke
This is a genuine toss-up — Radtke at 55% vs Prado at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Prado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Prado throws more volume but Radtke connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Radtke's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Radtke
Prado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+23
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Radtke
Prado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
48.9
54.4
Performance Avg
42.7
43
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
26
Radtke
Prado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
1Clinch1
2Ground2
Radtke
Prado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Radtke
Prado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Radtke
Prado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Radtke
Prado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Radtke
Prado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
RadtkePrado
Strike Zones
Radtke
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedPrado
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Radtke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prado targets the head (64% of attacks) — Radtke absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Radtke
RND
Prado
0/0R00/0
Radtke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Prado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Radtke · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
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W · Sub · R3
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Prado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7Decision
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