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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Welterweight
VS
55%
Radtke
45%
Prado
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Charles
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
125
5'9"72" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Francisco
Francisco Prado
125
Knockout Artist4-fight slide24 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'10"
CFR 49
★ Official Result
Charles RadtkewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Francisco Prado · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Radtke
Actual result
Radtke wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Radtke at 55% vs Prado at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prado has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Prado throws more volume but Radtke connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Radtke's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RadtkePrado
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Radtke
Prado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Radtke
Prado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
48.9
54.4
Performance Avg
42.7
43
Quality of Victory
60
84
Momentum Score
26
Radtke
Prado
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
1Clinch1
2Ground2
Radtke
Prado
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Radtke
Prado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Radtke
Prado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Radtke
Prado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Radtke
Prado
Striking5.4 / 10.0Volume4.6 / 0.3Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Radtke
Strike Zones
Prado
Radtke
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Prado
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Radtke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prado absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prado targets the head (64% of attacks) — Radtke absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Radtke
RND
Prado
0/0R00/0

Radtke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.6W3.7L5.5W4.5L5.5W5.2W2023-092024-062025-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Prado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0105.7L5.8W5.9L6.5L5.9L6.7L2023-022023-072024-022025-022025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Radtke · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Sub · R3
Daniel FrunzaRating 5.5
Submission
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L · KO · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Prado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Charles Radtke · Francisco Prado
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