UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
Hollywood, USA
27 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
46%
Junior
54%
Gordon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:37
AC
Antonio Carlos Junior
"Cara de Sapato"
11 – 5
6'2"79" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 19
EG
Eddie Gordon
"Truck"
8 – 4
Knockout Artist3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gordon

This is a genuine toss-up — Junior at 46% vs Gordon at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.

Striking split: Gordon throws more volume but Junior connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gordon has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Junior
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Junior
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
22.7
55.3
Performance Avg
70.0
53
Quality of Victory
100
41
Momentum Score
22
Junior
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Junior
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
6.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Junior
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Junior
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Junior
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Junior
Gordon
Striking1.2 / 10.0Volume3.5 / 0.5Grappling6.4 / 0.0Wrestling4.5 / 0.0Submission7.1 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Junior
Strike Zones
Gordon
Junior
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Junior targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (67% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Junior
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Junior · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.5W5.3W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2014-052016-032017-062019-052021-01
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W2.8L5.5L4.0L2014-072014-122015-042015-06
WinLossTrend

Junior · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Uriah HallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Sub · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Sub · R1
Jack MarshmanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

Gordon · Last 4

L · Sub · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris DempseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R2
Josh SammanRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

News & Media

Antonio Carlos Junior · Eddie Gordon
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