METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Featherweight
VS
31%
Miller
69%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cole Miller · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Caceres holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Miller has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerCaceres
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
73"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
39.7
49.0
Performance Avg
42.2
47
Quality of Victory
34
49
Momentum Score
76
Miller
Caceres
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
3.8
2.6
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
21
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance18
0Clinch1
2Ground5
Miller
Caceres
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
7.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
7
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Miller
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Miller
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
MillerCaceres
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (92% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (88% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
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