METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Austin, USA
18 Jun 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
61%
Oliveira
39%
Paula
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Maria OliveirawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gloria de Paula · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Paula has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Oliveira throws more volume but Paula connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraPaula
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oliveira
Paula
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
67"
29+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Paula
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
14.0
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
28
Momentum Score
17
Oliveira
Paula
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
26
3
Body
5
6
Leg
4
RangeRange
33Distance35
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Oliveira
Paula
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oliveira
Paula
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Oliveira
Paula
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
17
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Paula
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Paula
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
OliveiraPaula
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedPaula
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (74% of attacks) — Paula absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Paula targets the head (74% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Paula
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Paula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Gloria de PaulaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
Paula · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Maria OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
Cheyanne VlismasRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Jinh Yu FreyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03