UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Middleweight
VS
47%
Cedenblad
53%
Jotko
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jotko
This is a genuine toss-up — Cedenblad at 47% vs Jotko at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cedenblad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Cedenblad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cedenblad's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cedenblad
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cedenblad
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
22.7
54.2
Performance Avg
42.8
46
Quality of Victory
28
59
Momentum Score
60
Cedenblad
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance5
4Clinch0
1Ground0
Cedenblad
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cedenblad
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
28
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Cedenblad
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
60
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cedenblad
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cedenblad
Jotko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
CedenbladJotko
Strike Zones
Cedenblad
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedJotko
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cedenblad targets the body (60% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cedenblad
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0
Cedenblad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jotko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Cedenblad · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jack MarshmanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared HammanRating 5Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
Jotko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05