UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker
Sioux Falls, USA
13 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
76%
Holtzman
24%
Pfister
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SH
Scott Holtzman
"Hot Sauce"
14 – 6
5'9"69" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
CP
Cody Pfister
"The Fist"
13 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holtzman

Holtzman is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holtzman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holtzman's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holtzman
Pfister
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holtzman
Pfister
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.5
9.7
40.6
Performance Avg
25.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
28
Holtzman
Pfister
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
29%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
3
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
6Ground2
Holtzman
Pfister
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holtzman
Pfister
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Holtzman
Pfister
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
28
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Holtzman
Pfister
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holtzman
Pfister
Striking2.5 / 0.5Volume5.7 / 8.5Grappling2.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.8 / 1.7Submission1.4 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Holtzman
Strike Zones
Pfister
Holtzman
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Pfister
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holtzman targets the head (64% of attacks) — Pfister absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Pfister targets the head (88% of attacks) — Holtzman absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holtzman
RND
Pfister
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Holtzman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W6.7L4.5W5.6L4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.2W4.9W2.5L3.8L6.0L2015-082017-042019-082022-12
WinLossTrend

Pfister · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0102.8L4.5W2.8L5.5L2015-022015-072015-122016-07
WinLossTrend

Holtzman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R2
Dong Hyun MaRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Pfister · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Sub · R2
Sage NorthcuttRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
James MoontasriRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02

News & Media

Scott Holtzman · Cody Pfister
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