UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Featherweight
VS
91%
Tiequan
9%
Reinhardt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:48
ZT
Zhang Tiequan
"The Wolf"
15 – 4
5'8"69" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 16
JR
Jason Reinhardt
20 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide56 yrsOrthodox5'6"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tiequan

Tiequan is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tiequan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Tiequan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reinhardt has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tiequan
Reinhardt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
47+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tiequan
Reinhardt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
1.5
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
22
Momentum Score
0
Tiequan
Reinhardt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tiequan
Reinhardt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tiequan
Reinhardt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Tiequan
Reinhardt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Tiequan
Reinhardt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tiequan
Reinhardt
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume0.5 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tiequan
Strike Zones
Reinhardt
Tiequan
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Reinhardt
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tiequan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Reinhardt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Reinhardt targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tiequan absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tiequan
RND
Reinhardt
0/0R00/0

Tiequan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W6.0L2.8L5.5L2011-022011-102012-022012-11
WinLossTrend

Reinhardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.9
0101.5L1.5L2.8L2007-112011-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Tiequan · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · KO · R2
Issei TamuraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Jason ReinhardtRating 5
Submission
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02

Reinhardt · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Edwin FigueroaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Sub · R1
Zhang TiequanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
L · Sub · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11

News & Media

Zhang Tiequan · Jason Reinhardt
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