UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
34%
Kirk
66%
Ribovics
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ribovics
Ribovics holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kirk has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ribovics has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Kirk
Ribovics
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Kirk
Ribovics
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
48.1
28.3
Performance Avg
43.1
25
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
63
Kirk
Ribovics
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
3.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
36
3
Body
11
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance36
1Clinch6
0Ground7
Kirk
Ribovics
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kirk
Ribovics
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Kirk
Ribovics
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kirk
Ribovics
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kirk
Ribovics
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
KirkRibovics
Strike Zones
Kirk
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedRibovics
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kirk targets the head (74% of attacks) — Ribovics absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Ribovics targets the head (73% of attacks) — Kirk absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kirk
RND
Ribovics
0/0R00/0
Kirk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ribovics · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Kirk · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Damon JacksonRating 3Submission
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L · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8Submission
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