UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
51%
Meerschaert
49%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:03
Gerald
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
37 – 22
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw38 yrs5-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 57
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Meerschaert

This is a genuine toss-up — Meerschaert at 51% vs Oleksiejczuk at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Meerschaert's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
54.6
48.2
Performance Avg
55.3
50
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
52
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
18
0
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
7.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
5.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/59 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
8
11
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Striking1.8 / 9.2Volume0.9 / 2.8Grappling7.3 / 0.5Wrestling5.1 / 0.3Submission9.2 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
7.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
5.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
9.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Meerschaert
Strike Zones
Oleksiejczuk
Meerschaert
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (78% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Meerschaert
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Meerschaert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.2W2.4L6.1L5.7W6.3L5.5W1.5L3.4L5.0W6.3W5.5W5.5L6.8W3.5L6.0L5.7W6.7W5.0L5.5L2.5L2.1L6.5L2016-122019-082021-122024-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Meerschaert · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Gerald Meerschaert · Michal Oleksiejczuk
← Back to fights