METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Chicago, USA
16 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
52%
Meerschaert
48%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:03
★ Official Result
Michal OleksiejczukwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:03
def. Gerald Meerschaert · UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Meerschaert
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Meerschaert at 52% vs Oleksiejczuk at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Meerschaert's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MeerschaertOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
52.9
48.2
Performance Avg
54.0
50
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
52
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
7.3
0.9
Style: Volume
2.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
18
0
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.3
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
9.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
11
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/59 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
8
11
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Meerschaert
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
7.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
5.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
9.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
MeerschaertOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Meerschaert
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (78% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Meerschaert
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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