METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Featherweight
VS
45%
Leavitt
55%
Valle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jordan LeavittwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yadier del Valle · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Valle
→
Actual result
Leavitt wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Leavitt at 45% vs Valle at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Valle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Leavitt's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeavittValle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leavitt
Valle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Leavitt
Valle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
75.4
51.4
Performance Avg
63.6
46
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
100
Leavitt
Valle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
9.3
3.9
Style: Volume
1.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground4
Leavitt
Valle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leavitt
Valle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Leavitt
Valle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Leavitt
Valle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leavitt
Valle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
LeavittValle
Strike Zones
Leavitt
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedValle
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leavitt targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Valle absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Valle targets the body (100% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leavitt
RND
Valle
0/0R00/0
Leavitt · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joanderson BritoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Valle · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Darren ElkinsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Jordan LeavittDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Isaac DulgarianSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Connor MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05