UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Featherweight
VS
47%
Leavitt
53%
Valle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jordan
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
13 – 3
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Yadier
Yadier del Valle
"The Cuban Problem"
10 – 1
Submission Hunter29 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'9"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Valle

This is a genuine toss-up — Leavitt at 47% vs Valle at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Valle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Leavitt
Valle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Leavitt
Valle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
71.8
54.0
Performance Avg
59.1
46
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
95
Leavitt
Valle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground4
Leavitt
Valle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leavitt
Valle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Leavitt
Valle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
95
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Leavitt
Valle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leavitt
Valle
Striking4.7 / 1.3Volume4.0 / 1.3Grappling3.5 / 8.0Wrestling2.4 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure6.7 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
Leavitt
Strike Zones
Valle
Leavitt
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD5BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Valle
Attacking
0HEAD5BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leavitt targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Valle absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Valle targets the body (100% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leavitt
RND
Valle
0/0R00/0

Leavitt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W6.4L5.2W4.6W4.5L5.0W2.3L5.0W6.3W2020-122022-042023-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Valle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0105.0W6.3W7.0L2025-052025-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Leavitt · Last 5

Upcoming
Joanderson Brito
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

Valle · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Jordan LeavittRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Isaac DulgarianRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Connor MatthewsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05

News & Media

Jordan Leavitt · Yadier del Valle
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