UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Anaheim, USA
22 Jan 2022
Welterweight
VS
59%
Pereira
41%
Fialho
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 59% vs Fialho at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fialho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fialho has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Fialho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Fialho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
32.8
50.5
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
20
Pereira
Fialho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
15
10
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
42Distance16
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Pereira
Fialho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Fialho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
10
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Pereira
Fialho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Pereira
Fialho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Fialho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
PereiraFialho
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedFialho
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (63% of attacks) — Fialho absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Fialho targets the head (88% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Fialho
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Fialho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
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Fialho · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.1KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
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W · KO · R1
Cameron VanCampRating 5KO/TKO
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