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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Mexico City, Mexico
29 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
68%
Rodriguez
32%
Borjas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ronaldo
Ronaldo Rodriguez
"Lazy Boy"
173
5'6"65" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Kevin
Kevin Borjas
"El Gallo Negro"
105
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'5"
CFR 28
★ Official Result
Kevin BorjaswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ronaldo Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
Actual result
Borjas wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Rodriguez holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Borjas has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Borjas has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezBorjas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rodriguez
Borjas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
+68"
27+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Borjas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.7
28.2
49.0
Performance Avg
34.7
37
Quality of Victory
39
83
Momentum Score
10
Rodriguez
Borjas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.9
5.3
Style: Volume
8.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
39
6
Body
2
11
Leg
2
RangeRange
37Distance42
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Borjas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Borjas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Rodriguez
Borjas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
10
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Borjas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Borjas
Striking1.3 / 0.6Volume5.3 / 8.6Grappling5.2 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Borjas
Rodriguez
Attacking
20HEAD6BODY11LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD2BODY2LEGS43 absorbed
Borjas
Attacking
39HEAD2BODY2LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD6BODY11LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (54% of attacks) — Borjas absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Borjas targets the head (91% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Borjas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rodriguez · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Kevin Borjas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Ode Osbourne
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R2
Denys Bondar
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Borjas · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rei Tsuruya
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Andre Lima
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Imanol Rodriguez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Sumudaerji
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ronaldo Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

News & Media

Ronaldo Rodriguez · Kevin Borjas
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