UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Walker
54%
Krylov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Krylov
This is a genuine toss-up — Walker at 46% vs Krylov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Walker
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
82"+
Reach
77"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
59.8
54.6
Performance Avg
52.7
56
Quality of Victory
50
41
Momentum Score
100
Walker
Krylov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
60%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground16
Walker
Krylov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Walker
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/32 fights
Chin rating based on
22/42 fights
Walker
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
100
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Walker
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
5
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Krylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
WalkerKrylov
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedKrylov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (82% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Krylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Walker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
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W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
Robert WhittakerUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4Submission
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