UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2022
Bantamweight
VS
92%
Saaiman
8%
Koslow
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:13
Cameron
Cameron Saaiman
"MSP"
9 – 3
5'8"67" reachSouthpaw25 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 54
SK
Steven Koslow
"Obi Won Shinobi The Pillow"
6 – 1
Well-Rounded29 yrsSwitch69" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Saaiman

Saaiman is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Saaiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.

Saaiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Saaiman's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saaiman
Koslow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+69"
25+
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Saaiman
Koslow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
4.7
47.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Saaiman
Koslow
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
33%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
2
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance2
4Clinch1
13Ground0
Saaiman
Koslow
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.8
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saaiman
Koslow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Saaiman
Koslow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Saaiman
Koslow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saaiman
Koslow
Striking7.7 / 0.0Volume3.7 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Saaiman
Strike Zones
Koslow
Saaiman
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Koslow
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saaiman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Koslow absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Koslow targets the head (67% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saaiman
RND
Koslow
0/0R00/0

Saaiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5W4.5W5.0W6.1L4.3L2.9L2022-122023-032023-072023-102024-032025-04
WinLossTrend

Saaiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Koslow · Last 1

L · KO · R3
Cameron SaaimanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Cameron Saaiman · Steven Koslow
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