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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Lightweight
VS
47%
Hooper
53%
Leavitt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:58
Chase
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
165
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw26 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Jordan
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
133
Well-Rounded31 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 62
★ Official Result
Chase HooperwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:58
def. Jordan Leavitt · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leavitt
Actual result
Hooper wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 47% vs Leavitt at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Leavitt has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HooperLeavitt
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hooper
Leavitt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hooper
Leavitt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
62.4
53.5
Performance Avg
51.4
46
Quality of Victory
46
72
Momentum Score
100
Hooper
Leavitt
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
6.5
3.1
Style: Volume
3.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
1Ground2
Hooper
Leavitt
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
5.6
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hooper
Leavitt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Hooper
Leavitt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Hooper
Leavitt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooper
Leavitt
Striking3.5 / 4.5Volume3.1 / 3.9Grappling5.0 / 3.5Wrestling3.5 / 2.4Submission5.6 / 3.3Pressure7.4 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Hooper
Strike Zones
Leavitt
Hooper
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Leavitt
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Leavitt targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hooper
RND
Leavitt
0/0R00/0

Hooper · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mitch Ramirez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander Hernandez
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim Miller
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay Guida
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

Leavitt · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Joanderson Brito
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del Valle
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt Holobaugh
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase Hooper
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor Martinez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Chase Hooper · Jordan Leavitt
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