UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Lightweight
VS
44%
Hooper
56%
Leavitt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:58
Chase
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
16 – 5
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw26 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Jordan
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Leavitt

This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 44% vs Leavitt at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Hooper throws more volume but Leavitt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hooper
Leavitt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
26+
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hooper
Leavitt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
64.8
51.8
Performance Avg
54.0
45
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
100
Hooper
Leavitt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
1Ground2
Hooper
Leavitt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Leavitt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Hooper
Leavitt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Hooper
Leavitt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooper
Leavitt
Striking3.7 / 4.7Volume3.2 / 4.0Grappling4.6 / 3.5Wrestling3.2 / 2.4Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure7.1 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Hooper
Strike Zones
Leavitt
Hooper
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Leavitt
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leavitt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Leavitt targets the head (67% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hooper
RND
Leavitt
0/0R00/0

Hooper · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.7L5.5W5.5L5.5W3.4L4.5W6.5W5.8W5.5W4.9W2.4L2.9L2019-122022-052024-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Leavitt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W6.4L5.2W4.6W4.5L5.0W2.3L5.0W6.3W2020-122022-042023-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Hooper · Last 5

L · KO · R1
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KO/TKO
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Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Leavitt · Last 5

Upcoming
Joanderson Brito
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Chase Hooper · Jordan Leavitt
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