METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Welterweight
VS
50%
Ponzinibbio
50%
Baeza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Santiago PonzinibbiowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miguel Baeza · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ponzinibbio
→
Actual result
Ponzinibbio wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 50% vs Baeza at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ponzinibbio throws more volume but Baeza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baeza has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PonzinibbioBaeza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
46.1
50.5
Performance Avg
49.0
44
Quality of Victory
53
46
Momentum Score
39
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
48
Head
18
6
Body
9
5
Leg
11
RangeRange
59Distance38
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Baeza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
PonzinibbioBaeza
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedBaeza
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (81% of attacks) — Baeza absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Baeza targets the head (47% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Baeza
0/0R00/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Baeza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Baeza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Andre FialhoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · KO · R3
Khaos WilliamsRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · Sub · R2
Takashi SatoRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11