METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Blachowicz
47%
Rakic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:11
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:11
def. Aleksandar Rakic · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Blachowicz at 53% vs Rakic at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Blachowicz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Blachowicz's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blachowicz
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
38.3
51.8
Performance Avg
44.3
48
Quality of Victory
35
20
Momentum Score
30
Blachowicz
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
3.8
4.5
Style: Volume
6.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Blachowicz
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/40 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Blachowicz
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
30
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Blachowicz
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
29%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blachowicz
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
BlachowiczRakic
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRakic
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the body (40% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the head (60% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blachowicz
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05