UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2011
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Lesnar
43%
Overeem
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:26
BL
Brock Lesnar
5 – 3
6'3"81" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 24
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
Knockout Artist46 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lesnar

This is a genuine toss-up — Lesnar at 57% vs Overeem at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lesnar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Lesnar throws more volume but Overeem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lesnar's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lesnar
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
81"+
Reach
80"
48
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lesnar
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.6
18.1
69.0
Performance Avg
55.0
77
Quality of Victory
52
66
Momentum Score
56
Lesnar
Overeem
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
70%
Strike Accuracy
73%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
11
1
Body
8
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
1Clinch11
0Ground4
Lesnar
Overeem
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lesnar
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
8
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Lesnar
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Lesnar
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
9
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lesnar
Overeem
Striking6.1 / 8.7Volume3.1 / 3.2Grappling2.6 / 0.6Wrestling1.8 / 0.4Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Lesnar
Strike Zones
Overeem
Lesnar
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Overeem
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lesnar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Overeem targets the head (58% of attacks) — Lesnar absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lesnar
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lesnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W1.5L1.5L2008-022008-112010-072011-12
WinLossTrend

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Lesnar · Last 5

Upcoming
Mark Hunt
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Alistair OvereemRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Shane CarwinRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R2
Frank MirRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 100 · 2009-07

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

News & Media

Brock Lesnar · Alistair Overeem
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