UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Apr 2024
Bantamweight
VS
18%
Falcao
82%
Hugo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hugo
Hugo is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hugo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Hugo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Falcao
Hugo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+71"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Falcao
Hugo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.7
34.8
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
46
Falcao
Hugo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
14
3
Body
13
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance27
4Clinch5
0Ground0
Falcao
Hugo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Falcao
Hugo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/30 fights
Falcao
Hugo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Falcao
Hugo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Falcao
Hugo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
FalcaoHugo
Strike Zones
Falcao
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedHugo
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Falcao targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hugo absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Hugo targets the head (44% of attacks) — Falcao absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Falcao
RND
Hugo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Falcao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Hugo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Falcao · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Victor HugoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Hugo · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

