UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
22 Oct 2022
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Yan
50%
O'Malley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Petr
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
20 – 5
5'7"67" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Sean
Sean O'Malley
"Suga"
19 – 3
Striker31 yrsSwitch72" reach5'11"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Yan

This is a genuine toss-up — Yan at 50% vs O'Malley at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Yan
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+72"
33
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Switch
Yan
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.1
65.3
56.4
Performance Avg
59.5
44
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
95
Yan
O'Malley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
62%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
33
3
Body
2
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
13Distance36
1Clinch4
1Ground0
Yan
O'Malley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yan
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Yan
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
95
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Yan
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yan
O'Malley
Striking4.8 / 7.0Volume6.8 / 5.2Grappling1.6 / 1.1Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Yan
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Yan
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD2BODY5LEGS40 absorbed
O'Malley
Attacking
33HEAD2BODY5LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yan targets the head (47% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯O'Malley targets the head (83% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yan
RND
O'Malley
0/0R00/0

Yan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.0W6.1L6.0W6.5L7.0L6.8L5.8W5.6W6.2W5.8W2018-062019-062021-102024-032025-12
WinLossTrend

O'Malley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.3L5.5W5.5W5.0W6.0W6.1W5.3W6.8L4.0L5.8W2017-122020-082022-102025-062026-01
WinLossTrend

Yan · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

O'Malley · Last 5

Upcoming
Aiemann Zahabi
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Petr Yan · Sean O'Malley
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