UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Flyweight
VS
68%
Johnson
32%
McCall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but McCall has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Striking split: McCall throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Johnson
McCall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
66"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
McCall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
11.9
69.9
Performance Avg
31.0
58
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
35
Johnson
McCall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
58%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
14
2
Body
5
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground13
Johnson
McCall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
McCall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Johnson
McCall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
35
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Johnson
McCall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
McCall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
JohnsonMcCall
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedMcCall
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — McCall absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯McCall targets the head (58% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
McCall
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
McCall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
McCall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Iliarde SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06