UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Nelson
45%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
RN
Roy Nelson
"Big Country"
22 – 14
6'0"73" reachOrthodox49 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 19
AS
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19 – 12
Knockout Artist3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox82" reach6'4"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nelson

This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 55% vs Silva at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nelson
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+82"
49
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
15.4
55.6
Performance Avg
47.0
61
Quality of Victory
58
26
Momentum Score
26
Nelson
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
6
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
9Distance11
4Clinch2
5Ground0
Nelson
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Nelson
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Nelson
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Nelson
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nelson
Silva
Striking9.8 / 10.0Volume1.8 / 0.6Grappling0.3 / 0.0Wrestling0.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.6 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Nelson
Strike Zones
Silva
Nelson
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD6BODY6LEGS13 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
1HEAD6BODY6LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (46% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nelson
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nelson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.1L5.5L5.5L4.5W6.7L5.2W6.8L2009-122012-022013-102016-022017-04
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5W1.5L2.2L1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2.8L2012-052013-052015-082016-09
WinLossTrend

Nelson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Roy NelsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R2
Soa PaleleiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02

News & Media

Roy Nelson · Antonio Silva
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