METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Nelson
45%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Roy NelsonwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:10
def. Antonio Silva · UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nelson
→
Actual result
Nelson wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 55% vs Silva at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NelsonSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nelson
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+82"
50
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
15.4
55.6
Performance Avg
47.0
61
Quality of Victory
58
26
Momentum Score
26
Nelson
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
7.9
1.8
Style: Volume
0.6
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
6
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
9Distance11
4Clinch2
5Ground0
Nelson
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Nelson
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Nelson
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Nelson
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
NelsonSilva
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSilva
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (89% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (46% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Roy NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Stefan StruveKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntKO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R2
Soa PaleleiKO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Frank MirKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02