★ Championship Bout · Road to 4 Bantamweight Tournament
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Road to 4 Bantamweight Tournament
VS
8%
92%
Lui
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lui
Lui is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 85 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lui has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 100 points.
Striking split: Lui throws more volume but connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Lui
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
66"
Reach
+72"
20+
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lui
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.8
93.0
0.0
Performance Avg
100.0
0
Quality of Victory
100
0
Momentum Score
100
Lui
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance15
0Clinch4
0Ground1
Lui
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lui
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/9 fights
Lui
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Lui
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lui
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
Strike Zones
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedLui
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lui absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Lui targets the head (85% of attacks) — absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Lui
0/0R00/0
· Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Lawrence LuiRating 8.4Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
Lui · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
SulangrangboRating 4.5Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
