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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Bantamweight
VS
81%
Rivera
19%
AlQaisi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IR
Irwin Rivera
"The Beast"
106
5'6"67" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
AA
Ali AlQaisi
"The Royal Fighter"
85
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Irwin RiverawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ali AlQaisi · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rivera
Actual result
Rivera wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Rivera is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RiveraAlQaisi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rivera
AlQaisi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
AlQaisi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.3
2.7
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Rivera
AlQaisi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
13
2
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance16
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Rivera
AlQaisi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
AlQaisi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Rivera
AlQaisi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rivera
AlQaisi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rivera
AlQaisi
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rivera
Strike Zones
AlQaisi
Rivera
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
AlQaisi
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (82% of attacks) — AlQaisi absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯AlQaisi targets the head (68% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rivera
RND
AlQaisi
0/0R00/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.5L4.5W5.5L2020-052020-082020-09
WinLossTrend

AlQaisi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2020-082020-10
WinLossTrend

Rivera · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Ali AlQaisiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

AlQaisi · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Tony KelleyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Irwin Rivera · Ali AlQaisi
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