UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Bantamweight
VS
81%
Rivera
19%
AlQaisi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rivera
Rivera is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rivera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Rivera
AlQaisi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
AlQaisi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.3
2.7
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Rivera
AlQaisi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
13
2
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance16
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Rivera
AlQaisi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
AlQaisi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Rivera
AlQaisi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rivera
AlQaisi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
AlQaisi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RiveraAlQaisi
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedAlQaisi
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (82% of attacks) — AlQaisi absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯AlQaisi targets the head (68% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
AlQaisi
0/0R00/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
AlQaisi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Ali AlQaisiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
AlQaisi · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Tony KelleyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08