UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Featherweight
VS
52%
Young
48%
Bilder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Young
This is a genuine toss-up — Young at 52% vs Bilder at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Young has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Young throws more volume but Bilder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Young's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Young
Bilder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Young
Bilder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.2
28.0
35.4
Performance Avg
28.3
40
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
27
Young
Bilder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
39
6
Body
4
7
Leg
12
RangeRange
37Distance54
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Young
Bilder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Young
Bilder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Young
Bilder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
27
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Young
Bilder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Young
Bilder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
YoungBilder
Strike Zones
Young
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedBilder
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Young targets the head (65% of attacks) — Bilder absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Bilder targets the head (71% of attacks) — Young absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Young
RND
Bilder
0/0R00/0
Young · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Bilder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Young · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 2Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Blake BilderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ludovit KleinRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin ArnettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Bilder · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
JeongYeong LeeRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 4.5Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02