UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Featherweight
VS
62%
Jackson
38%
Kirk
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
Jackson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Kirk has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Jackson throws more volume but Kirk connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jackson's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson
Kirk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+75"
37
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Switch
Jackson
Kirk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
24.7
43.0
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
40
Jackson
Kirk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jackson
Kirk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Kirk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Jackson
Kirk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Kirk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Kirk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JacksonKirk
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKirk
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kirk absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Kirk
0/0R00/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kirk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
Kirk · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Damon JacksonRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
