UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
Goiania, Brazil
9 Nov 2013
Flyweight
VS
9%
Maria
91%
Ortiz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:19
JM
Jose Maria
"No Chance"
37 – 7
5'5"Orthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

Ortiz is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.

Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Maria connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Maria's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maria
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
Reach
65"
44
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maria
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
17.2
0.0
Performance Avg
47.8
0
Quality of Victory
42
0
Momentum Score
45
Maria
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
1
Body
7
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
3Clinch4
0Ground16
Maria
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maria
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/44 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Maria
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Maria
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maria
Ortiz
Striking0.0 / 6.1Volume0.0 / 5.1Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Maria
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Maria
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD7BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
12HEAD7BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maria targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (60% of attacks) — Maria absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maria
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Maria · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0102.8L4.0L2013-082013-11
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Maria · Last 2

L · KO · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · KO · R2
John LinekerRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

News & Media

Jose Maria · Dustin Ortiz
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