METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Paris, France
6 Sept 2025
Lightweight
VS
7%
Hardwick
93%
Fernandes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:21
★ Official Result
Kaue FernandeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:21
def. Harry Hardwick · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fernandes
→
Actual result
Fernandes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Fernandes is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fernandes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Risk flags
Hardwick's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardwickFernandes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardwick
Fernandes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+73"
31
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hardwick
Fernandes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.5
56.8
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
61
Hardwick
Fernandes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
6.5
0.0
Style: Volume
3.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
0
Body
3
2
Leg
10
RangeRange
8Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hardwick
Fernandes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardwick
Fernandes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Hardwick
Fernandes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
61
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hardwick
Fernandes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardwick
Fernandes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
HardwickFernandes
Strike Zones
Hardwick
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedFernandes
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardwick targets the head (75% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Fernandes targets the head (46% of attacks) — Hardwick absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardwick
RND
Fernandes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hardwick · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Marwan RahikiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
Fernandes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Harry HardwickKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Guram KutateladzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Mohammad YahyaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11