UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Jackson
54%
Marcos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Montel
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
15 – 4
5'10"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Daniel
Daniel Marcos
"Soncora"
18 – 1
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marcos

This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 46% vs Marcos at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Marcos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Jackson
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.4
61.0
51.6
Performance Avg
54.9
40
Quality of Victory
36
48
Momentum Score
83
Jackson
Marcos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance5
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Jackson
Marcos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Jackson
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
83
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Jackson
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Marcos
Striking4.7 / 3.7Volume5.8 / 6.5Grappling2.2 / 3.0Wrestling1.6 / 2.1Submission1.1 / 2.0Pressure5.2 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Jackson
Strike Zones
Marcos
Jackson
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Marcos
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.2L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.4W6.0W5.8W6.6L6.3L2018-082020-072023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Marcos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.3W5.3W5.9W6.4L5.2W2023-012023-072024-062024-122025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Jackson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Rani YahyaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

Marcos · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Miles JohnsRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Upcoming
Aoriqileng
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News & Media

Montel Jackson · Daniel Marcos
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