METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Welterweight
VS
34%
Maia
66%
Burns
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:34
★ Official Result
Gilbert BurnswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:34
def. Demian Maia · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burns
→
Actual result
Burns wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Burns holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Maia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burns has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
48
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
39.8
50.8
Performance Avg
48.1
40
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
28
Maia
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.0
Style: Volume
4.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground8
Maia
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
11
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
25/32 fights
Maia
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Maia
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
53%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
11
Submission Wins
5
10
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MaiaBurns
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBurns
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (77% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05