UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Villante
40%
Barroso
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Villante
Villante holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Barroso has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Villante has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Villante throws more volume but Barroso connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Villante
Barroso
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
75"
40+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Barroso
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
13.8
40.8
Performance Avg
35.0
42
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
55
Villante
Barroso
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
16
5
Body
6
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
24Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Barroso
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Barroso
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Villante
Barroso
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
55
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Villante
Barroso
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Barroso
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
VillanteBarroso
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedBarroso
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (79% of attacks) — Barroso absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Barroso targets the head (59% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Barroso
0/0R00/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barroso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Barroso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Upcoming
Darren StewartUFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Nikita KrylovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05