METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy
Pittsburgh, USA
21 Feb 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
36%
Reneau
64%
Evans-Smith
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Ashlee Evans-SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marion Reneau · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Evans-Smith
→
Actual result
Evans-Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Evans-Smith holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Reneau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Evans-Smith has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReneauEvans-Smith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"+
Reach
67"
49
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
26.0
44.1
Performance Avg
33.3
46
Quality of Victory
33
15
Momentum Score
26
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
3.3
2.4
Style: Volume
6.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
3
Body
11
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance13
1Clinch5
0Ground2
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/12 fights
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
26
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Evans-Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
ReneauEvans-Smith
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedEvans-Smith
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Evans-Smith targets the body (55% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Evans-Smith
0/0R00/0
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
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Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Evans-Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsDecision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Sarah MorasSubmission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09