UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Las Vegas, USA
29 Apr 2023
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Buday
33%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Martin
Martin Buday
"Badys"
16 – 2
6'4"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 55
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Buday

Buday holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Collier has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Collier throws more volume but Buday connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Buday
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Buday
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.5
26.7
52.5
Performance Avg
36.4
29
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
45
Buday
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
11
8
Body
9
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance16
4Clinch6
7Ground0
Buday
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Buday
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
2
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Buday
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
45
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Buday
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Buday
Collier
Striking1.8 / 2.7Volume8.6 / 5.5Grappling3.2 / 3.0Wrestling2.2 / 2.1Submission1.4 / 2.0Pressure3.6 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Buday
Strike Zones
Collier
Buday
Attacking
24HEAD8BODY1LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD9BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Collier
Attacking
11HEAD9BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD8BODY1LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Buday targets the head (73% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Buday
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0

Buday · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W3.4L5.2W5.8W4.5W2022-042023-042023-122025-042025-07
WinLossTrend

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Buday · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marcus BuchechaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Uran SatybaldievRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Martin Buday · Jake Collier
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