UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
70%
Teixeira
30%
Roberson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Roberson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberson has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Roberson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
46
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Teixeira
Roberson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
18.7
58.4
Performance Avg
38.3
51
Quality of Victory
37
59
Momentum Score
25
Teixeira
Roberson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch6
6Ground17
Teixeira
Roberson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Roberson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Teixeira
Roberson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Teixeira
Roberson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Roberson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TeixeiraRoberson
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRoberson
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Roberson targets the head (92% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Roberson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Roberson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Roberson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11