UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Featherweight
VS
41%
Young
59%
Miranda
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miranda
This is a genuine toss-up — Young at 41% vs Miranda at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miranda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Young throws more volume but Miranda connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Young's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miranda has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Young
Miranda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
72"+
Reach
71"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Young
Miranda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.2
44.2
35.4
Performance Avg
42.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
43
Momentum Score
29
Young
Miranda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Young
Miranda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Young
Miranda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
34
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Young
Miranda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
29
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Young
Miranda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Young
Miranda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
YoungMiranda
Strike Zones
Young
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMiranda
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Young targets the body (100% of attacks) — Miranda absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Miranda targets the body (50% of attacks) — Young absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Young
RND
Miranda
0/0R00/0
Young · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Miranda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Young · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 2Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Blake BilderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ludovit KleinRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin ArnettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Miranda · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Morgan CharriereRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Shane YoungRating 5Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5KO/TKO
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