UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Welterweight
VS
49%
Ponzinibbio
51%
Pereira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 49% vs Pereira at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ponzinibbio throws more volume but Pereira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pereira has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
73"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
47.1
50.5
Performance Avg
50.5
44
Quality of Victory
40
46
Momentum Score
39
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
44
Head
29
4
Body
13
7
Leg
9
RangeRange
54Distance50
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
16/46 fights
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
39
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Pereira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
PonzinibbioPereira
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedPereira
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (80% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the head (57% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

