METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
78%
Dober
22%
Gonzalez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:45
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:45
def. Jason Gonzalez · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Dober is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gonzalez has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DoberGonzalez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dober
Gonzalez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dober
Gonzalez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
17.0
53.2
Performance Avg
42.4
50
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Dober
Gonzalez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
2.8
Style: Volume
0.5
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
2
Body
1
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance9
4Clinch1
1Ground0
Dober
Gonzalez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dober
Gonzalez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Dober
Gonzalez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Dober
Gonzalez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Gonzalez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
DoberGonzalez
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedGonzalez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gonzalez absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gonzalez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Gonzalez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Gonzalez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Gregor GillespieSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Sub · R1
JC CottrellSubmission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09