UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
66%
Maia
34%
Eye
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jennifer Maia
21 – 10
5'4"64" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
JE
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
15 – 11
Well-Rounded4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Eye has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Maia throws more volume but Eye connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Eye has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Eye
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+66"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Eye
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
16.0
38.6
Performance Avg
28.6
31
Quality of Victory
26
45
Momentum Score
30
Maia
Eye
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
20
2
Body
7
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
27Distance34
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Maia
Eye
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Eye
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Maia
Eye
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
30
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Maia
Eye
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Eye
Striking1.0 / 0.7Volume7.7 / 7.1Grappling3.3 / 1.9Wrestling2.3 / 1.3Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure2.7 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Maia
Strike Zones
Eye
Maia
Attacking
27HEAD2BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD7BODY7LEGS34 absorbed
Eye
Attacking
20HEAD7BODY7LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD2BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (90% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Eye targets the head (59% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Eye
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.8L5.2W6.9L4.5W5.8L7.1L5.1W5.7W6.2L2018-072019-112021-072022-112023-10
WinLossTrend

Eye · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.2W6.4L7.0L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.5L5.2W5.5L5.7L5.5L6.5L2014-022016-052018-122021-012022-07
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

Eye · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

News & Media

Jennifer Maia · Jessica Eye
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