UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Lightweight
VS
71%
Miller
29%
Lauzon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lauzon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Lauzon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Lauzon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
17.7
51.5
Performance Avg
51.5
45
Quality of Victory
49
28
Momentum Score
59
Miller
Lauzon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
10
5
Body
3
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
29Distance13
7Clinch3
1Ground0
Miller
Lauzon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Lauzon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Miller
Lauzon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
59
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Lauzon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
14
Submission Wins
7
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Lauzon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
MillerLauzon
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedLauzon
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (65% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Lauzon targets the head (63% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Lauzon
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
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L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
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Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
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