Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen

Boston, USA

17 Aug 2013

Featherweight

55%

McGregor

45%

Holloway

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Conor McGregor

"The Notorious"

22 – 6

5'9"74" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 69

Max Holloway

"Blessed"

27 – 9

Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"

CFR 57

★ Official Result

Conor McGregorwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Max Holloway · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

McGregor

Max Holloway wins by TKO (injury) at 1:09 of Round 1, with McGregor suffering a …

→

Actual result

McGregor wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Five years of hype ended in 69 seconds when McGregor's body betrayed him before the fight ever really began.

This was never really a fight — it was an event, five years in the making, and it ended almost as soon as it started. Conor McGregor's long-awaited comeback against Max Holloway lasted just 69 seconds before McGregor suffered a knee injury throwing a jumping kick to open the fight, and the doctors waved it off as a TKO due to injury. For a card built entirely around McGregor's return, the anticlim…

McGregor intel

McGregor (22-6) returned from a five-year layoff carrying enormous outside-the-cage attention but almost no recent cage activity, and it showed in the worst possible way — a non-contact knee injury 69 seconds into his comeback fight.

Holloway intel

Holloway (28-9) came in as the readier, sharper fighter, and needed only to stay composed through an opening exchange to walk away with the win and an immediate trilogy offer on the table.

Key angles

McGregor's five-year layoff and the physical toll of prolonged inactivity

A single jumping kick ending the fight without a clean strike landed

Holloway's immediate call for a trilogy fight

What this means for McGregor's long-term UFC future at 38

Holloway's continued case as one of the sport's most durable, high-IQ veterans

Risk flags

A freak, non-competitive injury finish leaves the actual skill gap between these two largely untested

McGregor's team could argue the outcome says nothing meaningful about a healthy version of him

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

McGregorHolloway

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

McGregor

Holloway

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"

Height

+5'11"

74"+

Reach

69"

Age

+34

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

McGregor

Holloway

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

68.5

56.9

67.0

Performance Avg

57.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

McGregor

Holloway

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

9.3

/ 10

6.0

/ 10

7.6

Style: Pressure

6.0

2.9

Style: Volume

4.8

8 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

11 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance2

1Clinch0

7Ground0

McGregor

Holloway

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.5

/ 10

1.7

/ 10

0.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.2

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

McGregor

Holloway

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/28 fights

Chin rating based on

33/36 fights

McGregor

Holloway

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · KO · R1

L · R1

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R4

Last 5

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R5

McGregor

Holloway

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

80%

54%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McGregor

Holloway

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

9.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.0

0.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.7

0.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.2

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.8

7.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.0

2.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

McGregor

Strike Zones

Holloway

McGregor

Attacking

11 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Holloway

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

11 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯McGregor targets the head (73% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 73% of strikes there

🎯Holloway targets the head (50% of attacks) — McGregor absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McGregor

RND

Holloway

0/0R00/0

McGregor · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Max Holloway

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · R1

Dustin Poirier

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

L · KO · R2

Dustin Poirier

KO/TKO

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

W · KO · R1

Donald Cerrone

KO/TKO

UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

L · Sub · R4

Khabib Nurmagomedov

Submission

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Holloway · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Conor McGregor

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

L · Dec · R5

Charles Oliveira

Decision

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R5

Dustin Poirier

Decision

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · KO · R3

Ilia Topuria

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

W · KO · R5

Justin Gaethje

KO/TKO

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Conor McGregor · Max Holloway

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