UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
28%
Barez
72%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:05
Daniel
Daniel Barez
17 – 8
5'6"66" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Andre
Andre Lima
"Mascote"
11 – 0
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak27 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lima

Lima is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Barez throws more volume but Lima connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Barez
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+67"
37
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barez
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.5
64.9
25.0
Performance Avg
58.4
25
Quality of Victory
31
17
Momentum Score
100
Barez
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Barez
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barez
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Barez
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Barez
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barez
Lima
Striking0.5 / 2.0Volume8.5 / 6.0Grappling2.4 / 3.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure0.8 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Barez
Strike Zones
Lima
Barez
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Barez absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barez
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Barez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.6L4.6W5.5L5.5L2023-072024-092025-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W2024-032024-062024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Barez · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Luis GuruleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Andre LimaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Lima · Last 5

Upcoming
Kevin Borjas
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · R2
Igor SeverinoRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Daniel Barez · Andre Lima
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