METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Middleweight
VS
30%
Petrosyan
70%
Duncan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Armen PetrosyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Christian Leroy Duncan · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duncan
→
Actual result
Petrosyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Duncan is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duncan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Petrosyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrosyanDuncan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrosyan
Duncan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
71"
Reach
+79"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Petrosyan
Duncan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.3
63.4
32.1
Performance Avg
59.0
25
Quality of Victory
45
30
Momentum Score
72
Petrosyan
Duncan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
7.8
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
6.8
8.9
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
1
Body
0
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance11
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Petrosyan
Duncan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrosyan
Duncan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Petrosyan
Duncan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Petrosyan
Duncan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrosyan
Duncan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PetrosyanDuncan
Strike Zones
Petrosyan
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedDuncan
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrosyan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Duncan targets the head (58% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrosyan
RND
Duncan
0/0R00/0
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Duncan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco TulioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08