★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
59%
Rousey
41%
Davis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rousey
This is a genuine toss-up — Rousey at 59% vs Davis at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rousey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 67 points.
Rousey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rousey's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Davis has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rousey
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rousey
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.1
21.5
87.0
Performance Avg
39.7
95
Quality of Victory
28
100
Momentum Score
45
Rousey
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
1Clinch0
9Ground0
Rousey
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rousey
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Rousey
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rousey
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
13%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rousey
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
RouseyDavis
Strike Zones
Rousey
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedDavis
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rousey targets the head (93% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rousey absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rousey
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Rousey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rousey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Holly HolmRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Bethe CorreiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Alexis DavisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
Davis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03