METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Arlovski
45%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:50
★ Official Result
Marcos Rogerio de LimawinsSubmissionR1 · 1:50
def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Lima wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 55% vs Lima at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
39.4
50.5
Performance Avg
53.8
47
Quality of Victory
49
94
Momentum Score
59
Arlovski
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
6.7
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.9
5.3
Style: Volume
3.4
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Arlovski
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Arlovski
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Arlovski
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
73%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
ArlovskiLima
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedLima
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05