UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Arlovski
49%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:50
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Marcos
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
22 – 10
Striker40 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 51% vs Lima at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lima has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
47.3
50.5
Performance Avg
53.8
47
Quality of Victory
49
94
Momentum Score
59
Arlovski
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
9 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Arlovski
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Arlovski
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Arlovski
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
73%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Lima
Striking5.0 / 6.7Volume5.3 / 3.4Grappling1.9 / 2.1Wrestling1.4 / 1.5Submission0.9 / 1.8Pressure5.0 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Lima
Arlovski
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W2.7L5.0W1.5L5.0W3.3L4.5W2.8L5.0W2.3L4.5W5.0W5.5L5.7W6.0W2.7L6.1W2014-052017-012020-112023-042024-02
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Lima · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Marcos Rogerio de Lima
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