METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
48%
Holland
52%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Holland · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 48% vs Rodriguez at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
50.4
49.3
Performance Avg
48.8
44
Quality of Victory
37
51
Momentum Score
70
Holland
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
4.8
3.6
Style: Volume
6.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
10
4
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance14
12Clinch0
4Ground3
Holland
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Holland
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
70
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holland
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
40%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HollandRodriguez
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (59% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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Rodriguez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
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W · KO · R3
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