UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Pennington
50%
Hughes
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pennington
This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 50% vs Hughes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Pennington
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
60"
Reach
+64"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.8
49.8
39.8
Performance Avg
40.0
28
Quality of Victory
33
89
Momentum Score
76
Pennington
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
9
13
Body
2
12
Leg
9
RangeRange
50Distance19
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Pennington
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Pennington
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
76
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PenningtonHughes
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHughes
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (52% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3Decision
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