METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Welterweight
VS
44%
Baczynski
56%
Jouban
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:23
SB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Alan JoubanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:23
def. Seth Baczynski · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jouban
→
Actual result
Jouban wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Baczynski at 44% vs Jouban at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Baczynski's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jouban has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaczynskiJouban
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baczynski
Jouban
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Baczynski
Jouban
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
18.1
43.3
Performance Avg
49.7
42
Quality of Victory
42
33
Momentum Score
67
Baczynski
Jouban
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.3
4.1
Style: Volume
5.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
15
2
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance14
8Clinch9
2Ground2
Baczynski
Jouban
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baczynski
Jouban
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Baczynski
Jouban
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
67
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Baczynski
Jouban
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baczynski
Jouban
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
BaczynskiJouban
Strike Zones
Baczynski
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedJouban
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baczynski targets the head (92% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Jouban targets the head (60% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baczynski
RND
Jouban
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Baczynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
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L · KO · R1
Brian MelanconKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Jouban · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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L · Sub · R2
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