UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Belo Horizonte, Brazil
4 Sept 2013
Featherweight
VS
43%
Arantes
57%
Souza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Souza
This is a genuine toss-up — Arantes at 43% vs Souza at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arantes's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arantes
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arantes
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
23.6
43.8
Performance Avg
58.0
43
Quality of Victory
47
64
Momentum Score
96
Arantes
Souza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
15
8
Body
7
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance21
1Clinch0
7Ground1
Arantes
Souza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arantes
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/28 fights
Chin rating based on
4/20 fights
Arantes
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
96
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Arantes
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arantes
Souza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
ArantesSouza
Strike Zones
Arantes
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedSouza
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arantes targets the body (50% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (68% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arantes
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0
Arantes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Arantes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Jerrod SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
Souza · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · KO · R2
Mark EddivaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09